Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 21:15 •
Estadio Félix Capriles
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.81)
2.37 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.7% | 18.6% | 60.1% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.5%
1 - 1
8.0%
0 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| The Strongest | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jorge Wilstermann | 0 | 2.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jorge Wilstermann | The Strongest |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 40% |
| Attack | 7% | 26% |
| Defense | 70% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jorge Wilstermann | The Strongest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 20% | 33% | 27% | 60% | 0% | 30% |
| Draws | 20% | 17% | 18% | 20% | 60% | 40% |
| Loses | 60% | 50% | 55% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
Form: Jorge Wilstermann: WWLLLWLLDDL • The Strongest: WDLLWDLDWD
League goals
| Metric | Jorge Wilstermann | The Strongest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 10 | 11 | 21 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jorge Wilstermann | The Strongest | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 91% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 73% | 40% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 27% | 20% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jorge Wilstermann | The Strongest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jorge Wilstermann | The Strongest |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jorge Wilstermann | The Strongest |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 3-4 | 5-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jorge Wilstermann | The Strongest |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 36.2% | 63.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or The Strongest
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Jorge Wilstermann = 1.20 (league 1.81), The Strongest = 2.37 (league 1.18)
| The Strongest | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jorge Wilstermann | 0 | 2.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.7% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 60.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1