Tue, Sep 2 2025 • 18:45 • Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.48) 0.31 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.9% 39.4% 12.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.5%
1 - 0
26.7%
2 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Salisbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 30.5% 9.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.7% 8.3% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.7% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWorthingSalisbury
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack29%17%
Defense67%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Worthing Salisbury
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%33%17%0%0%0%
Draws100%0%50%67%67%67%
Loses0%67%33%33%33%33%

Form: Worthing: DWLDLD • Salisbury: DDLLDD

League goals

Metric Worthing Salisbury
HATHAT
GF total448314
GF avg1.31.31.31.00.30.7
GA total459437
GA avg1.31.71.51.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWorthingSalisbury
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%33%67%
1.533%33%17%33%
2.533%33%17%17%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWorthingSalisbury
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricWorthingSalisbury
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricWorthingSalisbury
Wins10
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—3-4——
Biggest losses—1-00-12-0
Goals For3431
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricWorthingSalisbury
Form63%38%
Att64%36%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h100%0%
Goals71%29%
Total63.0%37.2%

Advice: Double chance : Worthing or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Betano
Draw3.72 @ Marathonbet
Away4.10 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Worthing = 0.88 (league 1.48), Salisbury = 0.31 (league 1.25)

Salisbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 30.5% 9.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.7% 8.3% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.7% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.9% · Draw 39.4% · Away win 12.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1