Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 12:00 • Heinz-Dettmer-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.04 (league 1.83) 0.78 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.2% 3.3% 1.5%
best score tips
5 - 0
8.0%
4 - 0
8.0%
3 - 0
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
St. Pauli II
0 1 2 3 4 5
BW Lohne 0 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.0% 6.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.0% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBW LohneSt. Pauli II
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack50%22%
Defense28%6%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.617 | 3.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

65%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric BW Lohne St. Pauli II
HATHAT
Played336325
Wins33%33%33%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%20%
Loses67%67%67%67%100%80%

Form: BW Lohne: LLWLLW • St. Pauli II: LLLLD

League goals

Metric BW Lohne St. Pauli II
HATHAT
GF total7411314
GF avg2.31.31.81.00.50.8
GA total88169817
GA avg2.72.72.73.04.03.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBW LohneSt. Pauli II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%60%100%
1.567%67%20%60%
2.533%50%0%60%
3.50%33%0%40%
4.50%17%0%40%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBW LohneSt. Pauli II
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricBW LohneSt. Pauli II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBW LohneSt. Pauli II
Wins10
Draws00
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-3
Biggest losses3-45-00-57-1
Goals For3321
Goals Against4557

Model comparison

MetricBW LohneSt. Pauli II
Form86%14%
Att69%31%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total63.2%36.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : BW Lohne and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Betano
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away4.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): BW Lohne = 5.04 (league 1.83), St. Pauli II = 0.78 (league 1.73)

St. Pauli II
0 1 2 3 4 5
BW Lohne 0 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.0% 6.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.0% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.2% · Draw 3.3% · Away win 1.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1