Thu, Sep 4 2025 • 14:00 • Astana Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.78) 1.36 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.9% 25.5% 36.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
8.9%
0 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Wales
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kazakhstan 0 6.3% 8.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.9% 12.1% 8.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.9% 3.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKazakhstanWales
Played34
Form33%58%
Attack16%53%
Defense79%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 110 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.36 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kazakhstan Wales
HATHAT
Played123224
Wins0%50%33%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%25%
Loses100%50%67%0%50%25%

Form: Kazakhstan: LWL • Wales: WDWL

League goals

Metric Kazakhstan Wales
HATHAT
GF total0336410
GF avg0.01.51.03.02.02.5
GA total134156
GA avg1.01.51.30.52.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKazakhstanWales
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%75%
1.533%33%75%25%
2.50%33%75%25%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKazakhstanWales
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricKazakhstanWales
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricKazakhstanWales
Wins11
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-23-0—
Biggest losses0-13-1—4-3
Goals For0233
Goals Against1314

Model comparison

MetricKazakhstanWales
Form30%70%
Att23%77%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total34.5%65.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Wales

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.00 @ Bet365
Draw4.10 @ 1xBet
Away1.62 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.78 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ Pinnacle
No1.70 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kazakhstan = 1.40 (league 1.78), Wales = 1.36 (league 1.47)

Wales
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kazakhstan 0 6.3% 8.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.9% 12.1% 8.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.9% 3.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.9% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 36.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1