Fri, Sep 5 2025 • 18:45 • Bishopsgate Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.58) 0.93 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.7% 29.9% 29.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Finn Harps
0 1 2 3 4 5
Longford Town 0 12.6% 11.6% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.4% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.3% 7.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLongford TownFinn Harps
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack32%37%
Defense47%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Longford Town Finn Harps
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins40%7%24%33%21%28%
Draws27%29%28%33%36%34%
Loses33%64%48%33%43%38%

Form: Longford Town: LDLWLWDLLLDLWDDLLDWWLDWLLLWLD • Finn Harps: LLLDLWWDDWDLLLDLLDDWWDLDLDWWW

League goals

Metric Longford Town Finn Harps
HATHAT
GF total20929211233
GF avg1.30.61.01.40.91.1
GA total193251182038
GA avg1.32.31.81.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLongford TownFinn Harps
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%83%76%69%
1.524%48%21%48%
2.510%24%7%14%
3.50%14%7%0%
4.50%7%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLongford TownFinn Harps
HATHAT
Clean sheets325459
Failed to score5510437

Penalties

MetricLongford TownFinn Harps
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricLongford TownFinn Harps
Wins22
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-15-00-1
Biggest losses0-35-00-23-1
Goals For3152
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricLongford TownFinn Harps
Form29%71%
Att46%54%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h36%64%
Goals40%60%
Total40.5%59.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Finn Harps

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away2.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.88 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Longford Town = 1.15 (league 1.58), Finn Harps = 0.93 (league 1.26)

Finn Harps
0 1 2 3 4 5
Longford Town 0 12.6% 11.6% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.4% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.3% 7.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.7% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 29.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1