Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 18:30 • Bishopsgate Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.58) 1.85 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.4% 20.0% 71.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.3%
0 - 2
17.8%
0 - 3
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Dundalk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Longford Town 0 10.4% 19.3% 17.8% 11.0% 5.1% 1.9%
1 4.3% 7.9% 7.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
2 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLongford TownDundalk
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack29%90%
Defense71%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.219 | 3.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Longford Town Dundalk
HATHAT
Played161531161531
Wins38%7%23%63%67%65%
Draws31%27%29%38%20%29%
Loses31%67%48%0%13%6%

Form: Longford Town: LDLWLWDLLLDLWDDLLDWWLDWLLLWLDDL • Dundalk: WWWDWWWWWDDWDDWWWDDLWWLWWWWWDDW

League goals

Metric Longford Town Dundalk
HATHAT
GF total211031362763
GF avg1.30.71.02.31.82.0
GA total20345416824
GA avg1.32.31.71.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLongford TownDundalk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%84%87%55%
1.523%48%52%19%
2.510%23%35%3%
3.50%13%13%0%
4.50%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLongford TownDundalk
HATHAT
Clean sheets3255914
Failed to score5510044

Penalties

MetricLongford TownDundalk
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricLongford TownDundalk
Wins25
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-16-10-7
Biggest losses0-35-02-0
Goals For3167
Goals Against3532

Model comparison

MetricLongford TownDundalk
Form31%69%
Att24%76%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h20%80%
Goals19%81%
Total26.5%73.5%

Advice: Winner : Dundalk

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.10 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.01 @ Pinnacle
Away1.40 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Longford Town = 0.41 (league 1.58), Dundalk = 1.85 (league 1.26)

Dundalk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Longford Town 0 10.4% 19.3% 17.8% 11.0% 5.1% 1.9%
1 4.3% 7.9% 7.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
2 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.4% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 71.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1