Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 10:00 • Crasus Dome Oita
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.24) 1.01 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.2% 28.5% 30.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
13.1%
0 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Jubilo Iwata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oita Trinita 0 10.6% 10.7% 5.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.2% 6.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.2% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOita TrinitaJubilo Iwata
Played55
Form7%60%
Attack23%92%
Defense15%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oita Trinita Jubilo Iwata
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins31%14%22%64%31%48%
Draws46%29%37%7%31%19%
Loses23%57%41%29%38%33%

Form: Oita Trinita: WDLDDDWDDLWWWLDLWDLLDLLLDLL • Jubilo Iwata: WWLLWWWDDLLLDWWWDDWWLLWLLWW

League goals

Metric Oita Trinita Jubilo Iwata
HATHAT
GF total121022232043
GF avg0.90.70.81.61.51.6
GA total102232142236
GA avg0.81.61.21.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOita TrinitaJubilo Iwata
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%70%78%70%
1.519%37%41%41%
2.54%7%26%19%
3.50%4%11%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOita TrinitaJubilo Iwata
HATHAT
Clean sheets628628
Failed to score4711336

Penalties

MetricOita TrinitaJubilo Iwata
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricOita TrinitaJubilo Iwata
Wins33
Draws32
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-35-12-4
Biggest losses1-24-01-43-1
Goals For2354
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricOita TrinitaJubilo Iwata
Form10%90%
Att20%80%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h71%29%
Goals69%31%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : Oita Trinita or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.44 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oita Trinita = 1.24 (league 1.24), Jubilo Iwata = 1.01 (league 1.19)

Jubilo Iwata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oita Trinita 0 10.6% 10.7% 5.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.2% 6.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.2% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.2% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 30.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1