Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 06:00 • Toyama Athletic Recreation Park Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.24) 0.93 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.1% 37.6% 48.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.5%
0 - 1
25.5%
0 - 2
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Tokushima Vortis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kataller Toyama 0 27.5% 25.5% 11.8% 3.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.0% 9.3% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKataller ToyamaTokushima Vortis
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack14%29%
Defense36%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kataller Toyama Tokushima Vortis
HATHAT
Played141630151530
Wins21%13%17%47%40%43%
Draws21%38%30%27%33%30%
Loses57%50%53%27%27%27%

Form: Kataller Toyama: WLWWDLLDDLLDDLDLDLLLWWLLDLLLLD • Tokushima Vortis: WWDDLDWLDLWWWLWWDWDWDLDWWLWDLL

League goals

Metric Kataller Toyama Tokushima Vortis
HATHAT
GF total121123151530
GF avg0.90.70.81.01.01.0
GA total16244011819
GA avg1.11.51.30.70.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKataller ToyamaTokushima Vortis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%77%70%47%
1.520%47%27%13%
2.53%10%3%3%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKataller ToyamaTokushima Vortis
HATHAT
Clean sheets3478816
Failed to score6814459

Penalties

MetricKataller ToyamaTokushima Vortis
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricKataller ToyamaTokushima Vortis
Wins23
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-12-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-22-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricKataller ToyamaTokushima Vortis
Form20%80%
Att33%67%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h20%80%
Goals20%80%
Total26.7%73.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tokushima Vortis and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.95 @ 10Bet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.04 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ SBO
Under 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kataller Toyama = 0.36 (league 1.24), Tokushima Vortis = 0.93 (league 1.19)

Tokushima Vortis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kataller Toyama 0 27.5% 25.5% 11.8% 3.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.0% 9.3% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.1% · Draw 37.6% · Away win 48.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1