Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 09:00 • Sagamihara Gion Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.41) 0.29 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.5% 37.3% 11.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.7%
1 - 0
27.4%
2 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Parceiro Nagano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagamihara 0 28.7% 8.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.4% 8.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.1% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSagamiharaParceiro Nagano
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack46%15%
Defense69%23%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sagamihara Parceiro Nagano
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins42%23%32%33%15%24%
Draws33%38%36%33%23%28%
Loses25%38%32%33%62%48%

Form: Sagamihara: LWLWDLDLDDDWLDLDDWDLWWLWW • Parceiro Nagano: WLWLWLLDLDLDDWLLWLDDWLLLD

League goals

Metric Sagamihara Parceiro Nagano
HATHAT
GF total11152613518
GF avg0.91.21.01.10.40.7
GA total92130132033
GA avg0.81.61.21.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSagamiharaParceiro Nagano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%72%56%68%
1.524%32%12%40%
2.58%12%4%12%
3.50%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSagamiharaParceiro Nagano
HATHAT
Clean sheets527448
Failed to score3472911

Penalties

MetricSagamiharaParceiro Nagano
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSagamiharaParceiro Nagano
Wins21
Draws32
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-00-1
Biggest losses0-23-01-36-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against2436

Model comparison

MetricSagamiharaParceiro Nagano
Form75%25%
Att75%25%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%63%
Total60.5%39.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sagamihara or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ 188Bet
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ Pinnacle
No1.81 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sagamihara = 0.96 (league 1.41), Parceiro Nagano = 0.29 (league 1.09)

Parceiro Nagano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagamihara 0 28.7% 8.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.4% 8.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.1% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.5% · Draw 37.3% · Away win 11.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1