Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 02:30 • PayPal Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.82 (league 1.14) 2.03 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.8% 12.9% 15.2%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.5%
3 - 1
5.4%
4 - 2
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
St. Louis City
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Jose Earthquakes 0 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.1% 2.2% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
2 2.1% 4.3% 4.3% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6%
3 2.7% 5.4% 5.5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8%
4 2.6% 5.2% 5.3% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
5 2.0% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesSt. Louis City
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack53%60%
Defense27%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Jose Earthquakes St. Louis City
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins27%33%30%27%13%20%
Draws40%13%27%33%13%23%
Loses33%53%43%40%73%57%

Form: San Jose Earthquakes: WWLLLDWLLLWWDDDWLDWDDLDLLWLWLL • St. Louis City: DDWWLLLLDDLLDLLWLDLLLWLLWLLLDW

League goals

Metric San Jose Earthquakes St. Louis City
HATHAT
GF total342155211536
GF avg2.31.41.81.41.01.2
GA total282755232851
GA avg1.91.81.81.51.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan Jose EarthquakesSt. Louis City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%87%67%80%
1.547%53%43%53%
2.523%27%10%30%
3.513%13%0%7%
4.53%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesSt. Louis City
HATHAT
Clean sheets134336
Failed to score1123710

Penalties

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesSt. Louis City
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesSt. Louis City
Wins22
Draws32
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-12-43-10-3
Biggest losses3-54-12-44-1
Goals For6433
Goals Against5444

Model comparison

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesSt. Louis City
Form60%40%
Att47%53%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h0%100%
Goals29%71%
Total49.8%50.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : San Jose Earthquakes or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.58 @ Pinnacle
Away4.05 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.37 @ 188Bet
No3.38 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): San Jose Earthquakes = 3.82 (league 1.14), St. Louis City = 2.03 (league 0.94)

St. Louis City
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Jose Earthquakes 0 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.1% 2.2% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
2 2.1% 4.3% 4.3% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6%
3 2.7% 5.4% 5.5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8%
4 2.6% 5.2% 5.3% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
5 2.0% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.8% · Draw 12.9% · Away win 15.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1