Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 20:30 • BMO Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.14) 2.46 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.6% 17.9% 61.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 2
7.9%
1 - 3
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Inter Miami
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toronto FC 0 2.6% 6.4% 7.9% 6.5% 4.0% 2.0%
1 3.1% 7.6% 9.4% 7.7% 4.7% 2.3%
2 1.8% 4.5% 5.6% 4.6% 2.8% 1.4%
3 0.7% 1.8% 2.2% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToronto FCInter Miami
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack22%61%
Defense78%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toronto FC Inter Miami
HATHAT
Played151530141529
Wins13%20%17%64%47%55%
Draws40%40%40%21%27%24%
Loses47%40%43%14%27%21%

Form: Toronto FC: DLLLLDDDWLLWLWLLLDWLDWLLDDDDDD • Inter Miami: DWWWWDDWLWLDLDWWWWWLWDLWDLWWW

League goals

Metric Toronto FC Inter Miami
HATHAT
GF total121830333164
GF avg0.81.21.02.42.12.2
GA total162137202646
GA avg1.11.41.21.41.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToronto FCInter Miami
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%77%83%83%
1.517%37%62%38%
2.57%7%45%28%
3.53%3%24%10%
4.53%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToronto FCInter Miami
HATHAT
Clean sheets437235
Failed to score6410235

Penalties

MetricToronto FCInter Miami
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricToronto FCInter Miami
Wins15
Draws32
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-65-11-5
Biggest losses0-24-20-34-1
Goals For3655
Goals Against2444

Model comparison

MetricToronto FCInter Miami
Form33%67%
Att27%73%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h7%93%
Goals28%72%
Total32.2%67.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Inter Miami

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.68 @ Pinnacle
Away1.88 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.70 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.61 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Toronto FC = 1.19 (league 1.14), Inter Miami = 2.46 (league 0.94)

Inter Miami
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toronto FC 0 2.6% 6.4% 7.9% 6.5% 4.0% 2.0%
1 3.1% 7.6% 9.4% 7.7% 4.7% 2.3%
2 1.8% 4.5% 5.6% 4.6% 2.8% 1.4%
3 0.7% 1.8% 2.2% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.6% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 61.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1