Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 00:30 • Soldier Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.14) 2.72 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.2% 17.9% 42.1%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.4%
2 - 3
5.8%
1 - 2
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
Columbus Crew
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chicago Fire 0 0.6% 1.8% 2.4% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8%
1 1.5% 4.1% 5.5% 5.0% 3.4% 1.9%
2 1.7% 4.7% 6.4% 5.8% 4.0% 2.2%
3 1.3% 3.7% 5.0% 4.5% 3.1% 1.7%
4 0.8% 2.1% 2.9% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0%
5 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChicago FireColumbus Crew
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack50%45%
Defense45%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chicago Fire Columbus Crew
HATHAT
Played151530161531
Wins33%53%43%50%33%42%
Draws33%7%20%31%40%35%
Loses33%40%37%19%27%23%

Form: Chicago Fire: LDWWWDLDLLDWWLWWLLWLLDWWDWLWLW • Columbus Crew: WWDDDWWWLWWDDDLDLWWWDWLWLDLDWLD

League goals

Metric Chicago Fire Columbus Crew
HATHAT
GF total213657262551
GF avg1.42.41.91.61.71.6
GA total233053192847
GA avg1.52.01.81.21.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChicago FireColumbus Crew
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%84%84%
1.560%53%48%39%
2.530%20%16%19%
3.57%10%13%6%
4.53%3%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChicago FireColumbus Crew
HATHAT
Clean sheets325325
Failed to score415325

Penalties

MetricChicago FireColumbus Crew
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricChicago FireColumbus Crew
Wins33
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-74-22-4
Biggest losses1-37-21-35-1
Goals For3745
Goals Against3735

Model comparison

MetricChicago FireColumbus Crew
Form64%36%
Att53%47%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h0%100%
Goals26%74%
Total47.4%52.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Columbus Crew and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away3.15 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.88 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.48 @ 188Bet
No3.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chicago Fire = 2.32 (league 1.14), Columbus Crew = 2.72 (league 0.94)

Columbus Crew
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chicago Fire 0 0.6% 1.8% 2.4% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8%
1 1.5% 4.1% 5.5% 5.0% 3.4% 1.9%
2 1.7% 4.7% 6.4% 5.8% 4.0% 2.2%
3 1.3% 3.7% 5.0% 4.5% 3.1% 1.7%
4 0.8% 2.1% 2.9% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0%
5 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.2% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 42.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1