Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 01:00 • Children's Mercy Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.14) 2.99 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.4% 17.0% 45.9%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.0%
2 - 3
6.0%
1 - 2
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Houston Dynamo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Kansas City 0 0.5% 1.6% 2.4% 2.4% 1.8% 1.1%
1 1.2% 3.6% 5.4% 5.4% 4.0% 2.4%
2 1.3% 4.0% 6.0% 6.0% 4.5% 2.7%
3 1.0% 3.0% 4.5% 4.5% 3.3% 2.0%
4 0.6% 1.7% 2.5% 2.5% 1.9% 1.1%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo
Played55
Form0%27%
Attack13%25%
Defense46%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting Kansas City Houston Dynamo
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins25%18%21%29%25%27%
Draws25%12%18%18%38%27%
Loses50%71%61%53%38%45%

Form: Sporting Kansas City: LLLDLLWLWLWLDDDWLLWDWLDLLLLWLLLLL • Houston Dynamo: LLDLDLWDDWLLWWDWLLLWWLLDDDLWDLWLL

League goals

Metric Sporting Kansas City Houston Dynamo
HATHAT
GF total252146202343
GF avg1.61.21.41.21.41.3
GA total323870302656
GA avg2.02.22.11.81.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%91%85%73%
1.539%70%30%58%
2.515%36%12%33%
3.56%12%3%6%
4.53%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo
HATHAT
Clean sheets213549
Failed to score358145

Penalties

MetricSporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total64

Streaks

MetricSporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo
Wins12
Draws33
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-23-52-00-3
Biggest losses2-45-21-43-1
Goals For4524
Goals Against4543

Model comparison

MetricSporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo
Form0%100%
Att33%67%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total44.4%55.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Houston Dynamo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.95 @ 188Bet
Away2.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ 188Bet
No3.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sporting Kansas City = 2.24 (league 1.14), Houston Dynamo = 2.99 (league 0.94)

Houston Dynamo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Kansas City 0 0.5% 1.6% 2.4% 2.4% 1.8% 1.1%
1 1.2% 3.6% 5.4% 5.4% 4.0% 2.4%
2 1.3% 4.0% 6.0% 6.0% 4.5% 2.7%
3 1.0% 3.0% 4.5% 4.5% 3.3% 2.0%
4 0.6% 1.7% 2.5% 2.5% 1.9% 1.1%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.4% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 45.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1