Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 01:00 • PayPal Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.27 (league 1.14) 2.23 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.7% 15.8% 22.8%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.9%
2 - 2
5.4%
3 - 1
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
Austin
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Jose Earthquakes 0 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.3% 3.0% 3.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6%
2 2.2% 4.9% 5.4% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0%
3 2.4% 5.3% 5.9% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1%
4 1.9% 4.3% 4.8% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
5 1.3% 2.8% 3.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesAustin
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack25%21%
Defense42%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Jose Earthquakes Austin
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins25%35%30%41%38%39%
Draws38%12%24%41%6%24%
Loses38%53%45%18%56%36%

Form: San Jose Earthquakes: WWLLLDWLLLWWDDDWLDWDDLDLLWLWLLLWL • Austin: WLLWWWDLWLLLDDDDLWWLDWWDDLWWLWLLW

League goals

Metric San Jose Earthquakes Austin
HATHAT
GF total352358181836
GF avg2.21.41.81.11.11.1
GA total313162162743
GA avg1.91.81.90.91.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan Jose EarthquakesAustin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%85%70%73%
1.542%55%30%36%
2.521%30%6%15%
3.512%15%3%3%
4.53%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesAustin
HATHAT
Clean sheets145639
Failed to score1125510

Penalties

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesAustin
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesAustin
Wins23
Draws34
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-12-43-12-4
Biggest losses3-54-10-35-1
Goals For6434
Goals Against5435

Model comparison

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesAustin
Form33%67%
Att55%45%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h15%85%
Goals40%60%
Total40.0%60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Austin

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.84 @ 188Bet
Draw4.18 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.51 @ Pinnacle
No2.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): San Jose Earthquakes = 3.27 (league 1.14), Austin = 2.23 (league 0.94)

Austin
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Jose Earthquakes 0 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.3% 3.0% 3.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6%
2 2.2% 4.9% 5.4% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0%
3 2.4% 5.3% 5.9% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1%
4 1.9% 4.3% 4.8% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
5 1.3% 2.8% 3.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.7% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 22.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1