Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 21:00 • Fitzpatrick Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.13) 1.45 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.9% 22.9% 30.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Naples
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portland Hearts of Pine 0 3.9% 5.6% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.0% 10.1% 7.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.1% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.8% 5.5% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortland Hearts of PineNaples
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack73%23%
Defense59%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portland Hearts of Pine Naples
HATHAT
Played91322121224
Wins44%31%36%58%33%46%
Draws44%46%45%33%33%33%
Loses11%23%18%8%33%21%

Form: Portland Hearts of Pine: DDLDDWDLWDLDWWDLDWWWDW • Naples: DWWDWWLLLWDDLLWDWWWDDDWW

League goals

Metric Portland Hearts of Pine Naples
HATHAT
GF total151934201333
GF avg1.71.51.51.71.11.4
GA total101626121426
GA avg1.11.21.21.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortland Hearts of PineNaples
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%82%83%71%
1.536%36%46%25%
2.527%0%8%8%
3.59%0%0%4%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortland Hearts of PineNaples
HATHAT
Clean sheets134257
Failed to score235224

Penalties

MetricPortland Hearts of PineNaples
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricPortland Hearts of PineNaples
Wins33
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-53-10-3
Biggest losses0-22-10-14-1
Goals For4533
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricPortland Hearts of PineNaples
Form59%41%
Att76%24%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Winner : Portland Hearts of Pine

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Unibet
Draw3.42 @ Pinnacle
Away3.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ SBO
Under 2.51.86 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Portland Hearts of Pine = 1.80 (league 1.13), Naples = 1.45 (league 0.84)

Naples
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portland Hearts of Pine 0 3.9% 5.6% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.0% 10.1% 7.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.1% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.8% 5.5% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.9% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 30.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1