Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 18:45 • Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.36) 2.12 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.7% 19.7% 63.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.1%
0 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Shamrock Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Waterford 0 5.0% 10.5% 11.1% 7.8% 4.1% 1.8%
1 4.4% 9.3% 9.9% 7.0% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.0% 4.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.6% 0.7%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWaterfordShamrock Rovers
Played55
Form7%60%
Attack18%64%
Defense27%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Waterford Shamrock Rovers
HATHAT
Played141630141529
Wins36%31%33%71%40%55%
Draws14%13%13%21%40%31%
Loses50%56%53%7%20%14%

Form: Waterford: WLWWLLLLLLLWWWWLDDLWDLLWWLDLLL • Shamrock Rovers: LDLWWDWWWDLDDWWWWWDWWWLWDWDWD

League goals

Metric Waterford Shamrock Rovers
HATHAT
GF total161834292049
GF avg1.11.11.12.11.31.7
GA total24285281725
GA avg1.71.81.70.61.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWaterfordShamrock Rovers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%87%83%62%
1.540%57%59%21%
2.57%13%17%3%
3.53%7%10%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWaterfordShamrock Rovers
HATHAT
Clean sheets2249211
Failed to score4711235

Penalties

MetricWaterfordShamrock Rovers
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricWaterfordShamrock Rovers
Wins45
Draws22
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-44-01-3
Biggest losses0-47-22-32-0
Goals For2443
Goals Against4732

Model comparison

MetricWaterfordShamrock Rovers
Form10%90%
Att22%78%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h0%100%
Goals23%77%
Total23.6%76.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Shamrock Rovers

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.50 @ 10Bet
Draw3.96 @ Pinnacle
Away1.69 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Waterford = 0.89 (league 1.36), Shamrock Rovers = 2.12 (league 1.04)

Shamrock Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Waterford 0 5.0% 10.5% 11.1% 7.8% 4.1% 1.8%
1 4.4% 9.3% 9.9% 7.0% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.0% 4.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.6% 0.7%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.7% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 63.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1