Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:45 • Sullivan & Lambe Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.36) 0.84 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.3% 29.3% 25.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Derry City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Drogheda United 0 12.4% 10.5% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.4% 13.0% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.6% 8.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDrogheda UnitedDerry City
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack31%69%
Defense62%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Drogheda United Derry City
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins47%25%35%44%47%45%
Draws33%50%42%38%13%26%
Loses20%25%23%19%40%29%

Form: Drogheda United: DWDWWLDWWDDLDWLDDWDDLWDLWWDLLDW • Derry City: LWLLDWDWLWWLWWWDLLDWWWWLDLDWDWD

League goals

Metric Drogheda United Derry City
HATHAT
GF total191534281745
GF avg1.30.91.11.81.11.5
GA total121830162036
GA avg0.81.11.01.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDrogheda UnitedDerry City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%58%81%68%
1.526%32%32%39%
2.510%6%16%10%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDrogheda UnitedDerry City
HATHAT
Clean sheets76136410
Failed to score358156

Penalties

MetricDrogheda UnitedDerry City
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricDrogheda UnitedDerry City
Wins24
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-37-23-4
Biggest losses1-23-01-33-1
Goals For3374
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricDrogheda UnitedDerry City
Form36%64%
Att31%69%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h62%38%
Goals54%46%
Total49.8%50.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Derry City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.32 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ Pinnacle
No1.70 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Drogheda United = 1.24 (league 1.36), Derry City = 0.84 (league 1.04)

Derry City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Drogheda United 0 12.4% 10.5% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.4% 13.0% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.6% 8.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 25.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1