Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 10:00 • Seoul World Cup Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.41) 1.27 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.7% 26.9% 37.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Gwangju FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Seoul 0 8.1% 10.3% 6.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.8% 8.1% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.0% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.6% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC SeoulGwangju FC
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack50%35%
Defense25%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 34 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Seoul Gwangju FC
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins36%33%34%33%43%38%
Draws36%33%34%27%29%28%
Loses29%33%31%40%29%34%

Form: FC Seoul: LWDDWWDDLLLDDWDWLWDDWWLWDLWLL • Gwangju FC: DDWDLDWWLWLWLWLDDLWDWLDLLWLWW

League goals

Metric FC Seoul Gwangju FC
HATHAT
GF total221537161632
GF avg1.61.01.31.11.11.1
GA total201838171532
GA avg1.41.21.31.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC SeoulGwangju FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%69%72%72%
1.534%38%31%28%
2.514%14%3%10%
3.53%3%3%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC SeoulGwangju FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets279448
Failed to score257448

Penalties

MetricFC SeoulGwangju FC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricFC SeoulGwangju FC
Wins22
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-32-02-4
Biggest losses1-36-21-33-0
Goals For4324
Goals Against3633

Model comparison

MetricFC SeoulGwangju FC
Form31%69%
Att59%41%
Def21%79%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h20%80%
Goals38%63%
Total36.2%64.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gwangju FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.36 @ 1xBet
Away4.02 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Seoul = 1.25 (league 1.41), Gwangju FC = 1.27 (league 1.21)

Gwangju FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Seoul 0 8.1% 10.3% 6.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.8% 8.1% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.0% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.6% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.7% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 37.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1