Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 12:00 • Qingdao Youth Football Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.83) 1.75 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.1% 22.9% 41.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Shandong Luneng
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qingdao Jonoon 0 3.6% 6.4% 5.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
1 5.7% 10.0% 8.7% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 7.8% 6.8% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.3% 4.1% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQingdao JonoonShandong Luneng
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack27%77%
Defense73%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.217 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Qingdao Jonoon Shandong Luneng
HATHAT
Played121123121224
Wins25%0%13%67%33%50%
Draws42%18%30%17%25%21%
Loses33%82%57%17%42%29%

Form: Qingdao Jonoon: DLLDLLLLDDWLDLLLLWLWDLD • Shandong Luneng: DWWLWWWLLDLWDLWDLWLWWWWD

League goals

Metric Qingdao Jonoon Shandong Luneng
HATHAT
GF total16521302454
GF avg1.30.50.92.52.02.3
GA total142135122638
GA avg1.21.91.51.02.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQingdao JonoonShandong Luneng
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%87%79%83%
1.522%39%63%42%
2.59%22%46%21%
3.54%4%25%4%
4.54%0%8%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQingdao JonoonShandong Luneng
HATHAT
Clean sheets213404
Failed to score4711325

Penalties

MetricQingdao JonoonShandong Luneng
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricQingdao JonoonShandong Luneng
Wins14
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-16-01-5
Biggest losses0-34-00-36-1
Goals For5265
Goals Against3436

Model comparison

MetricQingdao JonoonShandong Luneng
Form28%72%
Att26%74%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total34.0%66.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Shandong Luneng

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.96 @ Pinnacle
Away1.96 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Pinnacle
No2.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Qingdao Jonoon = 1.56 (league 1.83), Shandong Luneng = 1.75 (league 1.37)

Shandong Luneng
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qingdao Jonoon 0 3.6% 6.4% 5.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
1 5.7% 10.0% 8.7% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 7.8% 6.8% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.3% 4.1% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.1% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 41.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1