Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 11:35 • Hangzhou Dragon Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.78 (league 1.82) 2.16 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.5% 17.8% 28.2%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.4%
3 - 2
6.0%
2 - 1
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Shandong Luneng
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hangzhou Greentown 0 0.7% 1.5% 1.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
1 2.0% 4.3% 4.6% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8%
2 2.8% 6.0% 6.4% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1%
3 2.6% 5.5% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.8% 3.8% 4.2% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
5 1.0% 2.1% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHangzhou GreentownShandong Luneng
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack63%79%
Defense58%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.415 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hangzhou Greentown Shandong Luneng
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins46%31%38%62%31%46%
Draws46%23%35%23%31%27%
Loses8%46%27%15%38%27%

Form: Hangzhou Greentown: DDWWLLDLWWLLDDWLWWWLDWDWDD • Shandong Luneng: DWWLWWWLLDLWDLWDLWLWWWWDDD

League goals

Metric Hangzhou Greentown Shandong Luneng
HATHAT
GF total302454312657
GF avg2.31.82.12.42.02.2
GA total202242132841
GA avg1.51.71.61.02.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHangzhou GreentownShandong Luneng
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%77%81%85%
1.573%58%62%42%
2.538%19%42%19%
3.512%8%23%4%
4.50%0%8%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHangzhou GreentownShandong Luneng
HATHAT
Clean sheets336404
Failed to score134325

Penalties

MetricHangzhou GreentownShandong Luneng
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricHangzhou GreentownShandong Luneng
Wins34
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-46-01-5
Biggest losses3-44-20-36-1
Goals For4465
Goals Against4436

Model comparison

MetricHangzhou GreentownShandong Luneng
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total44.3%55.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Shandong Luneng and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.56 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.30 @ Bet365
No3.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.60 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hangzhou Greentown = 2.78 (league 1.82), Shandong Luneng = 2.16 (league 1.39)

Shandong Luneng
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hangzhou Greentown 0 0.7% 1.5% 1.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
1 2.0% 4.3% 4.6% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8%
2 2.8% 6.0% 6.4% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1%
3 2.6% 5.5% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.8% 3.8% 4.2% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
5 1.0% 2.1% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.5% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 28.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1