Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 11:35 • Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.83) 1.05 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.5% 17.9% 14.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
2 - 0
9.2%
1 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Changchun Yatai
0 1 2 3 4 5
Henan Jianye 0 3.2% 3.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.7% 8.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.6% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.3% 7.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.4% 4.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHenan JianyeChangchun Yatai
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack100%58%
Defense67%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Henan Jianye Changchun Yatai
HATHAT
Played121426141226
Wins42%21%31%21%8%15%
Draws17%21%19%29%17%23%
Loses42%57%50%50%75%62%

Form: Henan Jianye: DLLLWLWLLLWDWLLDDLLWLWDWWL • Changchun Yatai: LLLDLWLDLLLLLLWLLLDLWWDLDD

League goals

Metric Henan Jianye Changchun Yatai
HATHAT
GF total271845141024
GF avg2.31.31.71.00.80.9
GA total222244202343
GA avg1.81.61.71.41.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHenan JianyeChangchun Yatai
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%69%81%
1.546%54%15%62%
2.527%23%8%19%
3.512%8%0%4%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHenan JianyeChangchun Yatai
HATHAT
Clean sheets224415
Failed to score044358

Penalties

MetricHenan JianyeChangchun Yatai
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total91

Streaks

MetricHenan JianyeChangchun Yatai
Wins22
Draws21
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-51-01-3
Biggest losses1-34-11-33-0
Goals For4533
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricHenan JianyeChangchun Yatai
Form63%38%
Att63%37%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total58.5%41.7%

Advice: Double chance : Henan Jianye or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ 188Bet
Draw5.77 @ Pinnacle
Away7.43 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Betfair
Under 2.53.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Betano
No2.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Henan Jianye = 2.39 (league 1.83), Changchun Yatai = 1.05 (league 1.37)

Changchun Yatai
0 1 2 3 4 5
Henan Jianye 0 3.2% 3.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.7% 8.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.6% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.3% 7.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.4% 4.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.5% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 14.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1