Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 16:00 • Mikheil Meskhi 2
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.33) 1.12 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.9% 30.9% 42.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.9%
0 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Gagra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gareji 0 14.2% 15.9% 8.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.8% 13.2% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.9% 5.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGarejiGagra
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack29%50%
Defense64%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gareji Gagra
HATHAT
Played111324121224
Wins18%15%17%17%58%38%
Draws45%38%42%42%0%21%
Loses36%46%42%42%42%42%

Form: Gareji: DLWLLLLLDLDWWLDDDWLLDDDD • Gagra: LDLLWLWWLLLDWDDDWLLLWWWW

League goals

Metric Gareji Gagra
HATHAT
GF total111021101525
GF avg1.00.80.90.81.31.0
GA total111526141327
GA avg1.01.21.11.21.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGarejiGagra
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%75%75%67%
1.521%29%25%33%
2.54%4%4%8%
3.54%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGarejiGagra
HATHAT
Clean sheets246358
Failed to score5510516

Penalties

MetricGarejiGagra
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricGarejiGagra
Wins22
Draws33
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-10-43-1
Goals For4232
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricGarejiGagra
Form25%75%
Att36%64%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h7%93%
Goals17%83%
Total27.7%72.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gagra and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ 188Bet
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gareji = 0.83 (league 1.33), Gagra = 1.12 (league 1.16)

Gagra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gareji 0 14.2% 15.9% 8.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.8% 13.2% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.9% 5.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 42.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1