Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 15:00 • Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.29) 0.49 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.2% 27.6% 12.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.3%
0 - 0
15.3%
2 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Gareji
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saburtalo 0 15.3% 7.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.3% 10.4% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.8% 7.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.9% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSaburtaloGareji
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack40%30%
Defense80%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Saburtalo Gareji
HATHAT
Played131225121325
Wins62%58%60%17%15%16%
Draws23%33%28%50%38%44%
Loses15%8%12%33%46%40%

Form: Saburtalo: WWWDDWWWWDWWWWDWDWLDWDWLL • Gareji: DLWLLLLLDLDWWLDDDWLLDDDDD

League goals

Metric Saburtalo Gareji
HATHAT
GF total201939131023
GF avg1.51.61.61.10.80.9
GA total9817131528
GA avg0.70.70.71.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSaburtaloGareji
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%44%60%76%
1.544%20%24%32%
2.516%4%4%4%
3.58%0%4%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSaburtaloGareji
HATHAT
Clean sheets7714246
Failed to score3255510

Penalties

MetricSaburtaloGareji
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricSaburtaloGareji
Wins42
Draws23
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-64-10-2
Biggest losses0-22-11-23-1
Goals For4642
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricSaburtaloGareji
Form58%42%
Att57%43%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h91%9%
Goals67%33%
Total67.8%32.2%

Advice: Double chance : Saburtalo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Unibet
Draw4.74 @ Pinnacle
Away10.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ Superbet
No1.56 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Saburtalo = 1.39 (league 1.29), Gareji = 0.49 (league 1.15)

Gareji
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saburtalo 0 15.3% 7.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.3% 10.4% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.8% 7.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.9% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.2% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 12.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1