Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 17:00 • Tskaltubo Technical Center
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.29) 0.56 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.6% 15.0% 6.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.0%
1 - 0
12.6%
3 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Telavi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samgurali 0 5.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.6% 7.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.0% 8.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.9% 6.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSamguraliTelavi
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack42%58%
Defense0%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Samgurali Telavi
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins31%23%27%23%23%23%
Draws23%15%19%38%15%27%
Loses46%62%54%38%62%50%

Form: Samgurali: LWWDLDLLWLDLLLLLWWWDDLLLLW • Telavi: LWWDLWLLLDLLLLDLLLWDDDLDWW

League goals

Metric Samgurali Telavi
HATHAT
GF total181836131124
GF avg1.41.41.41.00.80.9
GA total112637142943
GA avg0.82.01.41.12.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSamguraliTelavi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%77%58%73%
1.538%42%19%42%
2.519%8%12%23%
3.54%8%4%8%
4.54%4%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSamguraliTelavi
HATHAT
Clean sheets516617
Failed to score7294711

Penalties

MetricSamguraliTelavi
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total91

Streaks

MetricSamguraliTelavi
Wins32
Draws23
Losses54

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-01-34-01-3
Biggest losses0-26-21-37-0
Goals For7343
Goals Against2637

Model comparison

MetricSamguraliTelavi
Form27%73%
Att42%58%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h62%38%
Goals72%28%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : Samgurali or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Superbet
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Samgurali = 2.38 (league 1.29), Telavi = 0.56 (league 1.15)

Telavi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samgurali 0 5.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.6% 7.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.0% 8.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.9% 6.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.6% · Draw 15.0% · Away win 6.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1