Wed, Oct 22 2025 • 15:00 • Tskaltubo Technical Center
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.33) 0.83 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.8% 33.0% 30.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.9%
1 - 0
16.1%
0 - 1
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samgurali 0 16.9% 14.0% 5.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.1% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.6% 6.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSamguraliDinamo Tbilisi
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack50%33%
Defense39%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Samgurali Dinamo Tbilisi
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins36%29%32%57%29%43%
Draws21%14%18%29%43%36%
Loses43%57%50%14%29%21%

Form: Samgurali: LWWDLDLLWLDLLLLLWWWDDLLLLWWW • Dinamo Tbilisi: WDDWLWLLWDDWWWDLWLWDWDDLWDWD

League goals

Metric Samgurali Dinamo Tbilisi
HATHAT
GF total192140201737
GF avg1.41.51.41.41.21.3
GA total112839101222
GA avg0.82.01.40.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSamguraliDinamo Tbilisi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%75%71%68%
1.539%43%39%11%
2.521%7%14%0%
3.54%7%7%0%
4.54%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSamguraliDinamo Tbilisi
HATHAT
Clean sheets617549
Failed to score729268

Penalties

MetricSamguraliDinamo Tbilisi
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total92

Streaks

MetricSamguraliDinamo Tbilisi
Wins33
Draws22
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-01-33-00-4
Biggest losses0-26-21-22-0
Goals For7334
Goals Against2622

Model comparison

MetricSamguraliDinamo Tbilisi
Form53%47%
Att60%40%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Dinamo Tbilisi

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.85 @ Dafabet
Draw3.25 @ Dafabet
Away2.25 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Samgurali = 0.95 (league 1.33), Dinamo Tbilisi = 0.83 (league 1.16)

Dinamo Tbilisi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samgurali 0 16.9% 14.0% 5.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.1% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.6% 6.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.8% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 30.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1