Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • J.J. Ugland Stadion
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.98) 1.04 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.0% 20.2% 17.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.6%
1 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Notodden
0 1 2 3 4 5
jerv 0 4.3% 4.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.1% 9.4% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.9% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.8% 7.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.6% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricjervNotodden
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack42%26%
Defense47%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric jerv Notodden
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins50%60%55%40%10%25%
Draws20%10%15%20%60%40%
Loses30%30%30%40%30%35%

Form: jerv: DWLWDDWLLWWLWWWWLLWW • Notodden: WDDWWDLDWDLLWLLLDLDD

League goals

Metric jerv Notodden
HATHAT
GF total191837121123
GF avg1.91.81.91.21.11.2
GA total131932142236
GA avg1.31.91.61.42.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinejervNotodden
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%70%85%
1.550%50%35%40%
2.535%20%10%25%
3.515%5%0%15%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricjervNotodden
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score123336

Penalties

MetricjervNotodden
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricjervNotodden
Wins42
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-43-01-3
Biggest losses1-34-00-47-0
Goals For4433
Goals Against3447

Model comparison

MetricjervNotodden
Form75%25%
Att62%38%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total67.3%32.7%

Advice: Double chance : jerv or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.09 @ Pinnacle
Away7.85 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Pinnacle
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): jerv = 2.11 (league 1.98), Notodden = 1.04 (league 1.38)

Notodden
0 1 2 3 4 5
jerv 0 4.3% 4.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.1% 9.4% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.9% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.8% 7.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.6% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.0% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 17.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1