Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:00 • Sakkestad gras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.52 (league 1.96) 2.76 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.0% 17.6% 39.2%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.2%
2 - 3
5.7%
3 - 2
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Pors Grenland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vard 0 0.5% 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2% 0.7%
1 1.3% 3.5% 4.9% 4.5% 3.1% 1.7%
2 1.6% 4.5% 6.2% 5.7% 3.9% 2.2%
3 1.4% 3.8% 5.2% 4.8% 3.3% 1.8%
4 0.9% 2.4% 3.3% 3.0% 2.1% 1.1%
5 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVardPors Grenland
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack14%24%
Defense67%19%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.417 | 3.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vard Pors Grenland
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins18%18%18%27%18%23%
Draws55%36%45%45%27%36%
Loses27%45%36%27%55%41%

Form: Vard: LLLDWWDWDDLDDLDLDLDDWL • Pors Grenland: DDLWLLDLDLDWWDDWWLLLLD

League goals

Metric Vard Pors Grenland
HATHAT
GF total211031131932
GF avg1.90.91.41.21.71.5
GA total241741142943
GA avg2.21.51.91.32.62.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVardPors Grenland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%95%82%82%
1.545%55%36%59%
2.59%18%18%27%
3.59%18%9%18%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVardPors Grenland
HATHAT
Clean sheets011224
Failed to score145314

Penalties

MetricVardPors Grenland
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricVardPors Grenland
Wins22
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-24-20-3
Biggest losses2-44-00-25-0
Goals For4244
Goals Against4425

Model comparison

MetricVardPors Grenland
Form83%17%
Att38%63%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total61.4%38.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Vard or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Unibet
Draw4.09 @ Pinnacle
Away4.33 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.49 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Unibet
No2.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vard = 2.52 (league 1.96), Pors Grenland = 2.76 (league 1.36)

Pors Grenland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vard 0 0.5% 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2% 0.7%
1 1.3% 3.5% 4.9% 4.5% 3.1% 1.7%
2 1.6% 4.5% 6.2% 5.7% 3.9% 2.2%
3 1.4% 3.8% 5.2% 4.8% 3.3% 1.8%
4 0.9% 2.4% 3.3% 3.0% 2.1% 1.1%
5 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.0% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 39.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1