Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 11:00 • J.J. Ugland Stadion
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.96) 0.77 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.1% 26.8% 19.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
12.1%
2 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Vard
0 1 2 3 4 5
jerv 0 10.8% 8.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.8% 12.1% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 8.8% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricjervVard
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack45%14%
Defense64%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric jerv Vard
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins50%50%50%17%17%17%
Draws25%17%21%58%33%46%
Loses25%33%29%25%50%38%

Form: jerv: DWLWDDWLLWWLWWWWLLWWDDWL • Vard: LLLDWWDWDDLDDLDLDLDDWLDL

League goals

Metric jerv Vard
HATHAT
GF total232144221032
GF avg1.91.81.81.80.81.3
GA total152338251843
GA avg1.31.91.62.11.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinejervVard
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%83%75%96%
1.554%54%42%50%
2.529%17%8%17%
3.513%4%8%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricjervVard
HATHAT
Clean sheets314011
Failed to score123156

Penalties

MetricjervVard
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricjervVard
Wins42
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-42-11-2
Biggest losses1-34-02-44-0
Goals For4442
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricjervVard
Form62%38%
Att77%23%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h64%36%
Goals62%38%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : jerv or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.46 @ Pinnacle
Away5.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.70 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.46 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): jerv = 1.45 (league 1.96), Vard = 0.77 (league 1.36)

Vard
0 1 2 3 4 5
jerv 0 10.8% 8.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.8% 12.1% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 8.8% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.1% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 19.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1