Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 17:00 •
PreZero Arena
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 2.03)
1.54 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.4% | 25.5% | 48.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
11.7%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Nyköping | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Smedby | 0 | 7.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Smedby | Nyköping |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 45% | 34% |
| Defense | 69% | 90% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Smedby | Nyköping | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 20% | 27% | 24% | 36% | 20% | 29% |
| Draws | 40% | 27% | 33% | 18% | 30% | 24% |
| Loses | 40% | 45% | 43% | 45% | 50% | 48% |
Form: Smedby: DDWDWDLLLLDWLDLLLDWLW • Nyköping: WLLLWLLDLLDLDLDWLWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Smedby | Nyköping | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 18 | 33 | 17 | 11 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 21 | 20 | 41 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Smedby | Nyköping | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 86% | 67% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 62% | 38% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 38% | 24% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 10% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Smedby | Nyköping | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Smedby | Nyköping |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Smedby | Nyköping |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-5 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Smedby | Nyköping |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 41.5% | 58.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nyköping
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Smedby = 1.04 (league 2.03), Nyköping = 1.54 (league 1.50)
| Nyköping | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Smedby | 0 | 7.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 48.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1