MLS Next Pro — USA
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 20:00 • Allianz Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.59 (league 1.53) 1.50 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.2% 18.0% 20.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.4%
3 - 1
7.3%
1 - 1
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting KC II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Minnesota United II 0 1.7% 2.5% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.3% 6.5% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
2 5.6% 8.4% 6.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.8% 7.3% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 3.1% 4.7% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.6% 2.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMinnesota United IISporting KC II
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack24%36%
Defense80%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Minnesota United II Sporting KC II
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins62%36%48%7%31%19%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses38%64%52%93%69%81%

Form: Minnesota United II: WWWWLLLLLWLLWLWLLLWWWLWWLLW • Sporting KC II: LLLWLLLLLLLLLLLLWWLLLLLWWLL

League goals

Metric Minnesota United II Sporting KC II
HATHAT
GF total232144141731
GF avg1.81.51.61.01.31.1
GA total192645402868
GA avg1.51.91.72.92.22.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMinnesota United IISporting KC II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%67%100%
1.552%56%33%74%
2.519%22%11%59%
3.57%4%4%19%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMinnesota United IISporting KC II
HATHAT
Clean sheets224000
Failed to score224459

Penalties

MetricMinnesota United IISporting KC II
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricMinnesota United IISporting KC II
Wins42
Draws00
Losses512

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-42-11-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-43-0
Goals For4424
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricMinnesota United IISporting KC II
Form60%40%
Att40%60%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h60%40%
Goals52%48%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Minnesota United II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Unibet
Draw4.80 @ Pinnacle
Away3.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Minnesota United II = 2.59 (league 1.53), Sporting KC II = 1.50 (league 1.30)

Sporting KC II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Minnesota United II 0 1.7% 2.5% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.3% 6.5% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
2 5.6% 8.4% 6.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.8% 7.3% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 3.1% 4.7% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.6% 2.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.2% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 20.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1