Mon, Sep 8 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Municipal de Recoleta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.26) 2.03 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.0% 20.5% 38.0%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.3%
2 - 1
7.2%
1 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
San Marcos de Arica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Recoleta 0 1.7% 3.5% 3.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
1 3.5% 7.1% 7.2% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0%
2 3.6% 7.2% 7.3% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.4% 4.9% 4.9% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
4 1.2% 2.5% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRecoletaSan Marcos de Arica
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack24%14%
Defense86%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 7 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Recoleta San Marcos de Arica
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins55%17%35%42%55%48%
Draws18%50%35%33%0%17%
Loses27%33%30%25%45%35%

Form: Recoleta: LWWWDLDWLLLWDDDWDLWWDDL • San Marcos de Arica: LDWLWWWWWLWLWWWLLDLDLWD

League goals

Metric Recoleta San Marcos de Arica
HATHAT
GF total18725141630
GF avg1.60.61.11.21.51.3
GA total131225121830
GA avg1.21.01.11.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRecoletaSan Marcos de Arica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%65%74%78%
1.530%30%43%30%
2.59%13%13%9%
3.50%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRecoletaSan Marcos de Arica
HATHAT
Clean sheets358325
Failed to score167336

Penalties

MetricRecoletaSan Marcos de Arica
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricRecoletaSan Marcos de Arica
Wins35
Draws31
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-11-3
Biggest losses2-33-01-24-1
Goals For3223
Goals Against3325

Model comparison

MetricRecoletaSan Marcos de Arica
Form62%38%
Att63%38%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h7%93%
Goals38%63%
Total48.5%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : Recoleta or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ 188Bet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Betano
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bwin
No1.83 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Recoleta = 2.03 (league 1.26), San Marcos de Arica = 2.03 (league 0.89)

San Marcos de Arica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Recoleta 0 1.7% 3.5% 3.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
1 3.5% 7.1% 7.2% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0%
2 3.6% 7.2% 7.3% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.4% 4.9% 4.9% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
4 1.2% 2.5% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.0% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 38.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1