Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 14:00 • Pärnu Rannastaadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.88 (league 1.78) 0.78 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.0% 12.5% 7.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.7%
3 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Tallinna Kalev
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vaprus 0 2.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.4% 5.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.7% 8.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.3% 8.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.4% 5.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVaprusTallinna Kalev
Played55
Form80%0%
Attack100%17%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.217 | 3.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vaprus Tallinna Kalev
HATHAT
Played141428151328
Wins29%57%43%27%0%14%
Draws36%7%21%0%15%7%
Loses36%36%36%73%85%79%

Form: Vaprus: LWLWDLDLLWLLWDWWLDDLDWWWWWLW • Tallinna Kalev: LLLLWLDLLWLLLLLLLLWWLLDLLLLL

League goals

Metric Vaprus Tallinna Kalev
HATHAT
GF total23264916925
GF avg1.61.91.81.10.70.9
GA total221638464288
GA avg1.61.11.43.13.23.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVaprusTallinna Kalev
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%75%50%96%
1.550%43%25%82%
2.518%14%11%50%
3.511%4%4%36%
4.57%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVaprusTallinna Kalev
HATHAT
Clean sheets257101
Failed to score3367714

Penalties

MetricVaprusTallinna Kalev
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total74

Streaks

MetricVaprusTallinna Kalev
Wins52
Draws21
Losses28

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-10-54-1
Biggest losses0-33-00-96-1
Goals For8542
Goals Against3496

Model comparison

MetricVaprusTallinna Kalev
Form100%0%
Att89%11%
Def74%26%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total77.0%23.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Vaprus and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Unibet
Draw5.34 @ Pinnacle
Away8.29 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.84 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vaprus = 2.88 (league 1.78), Tallinna Kalev = 0.78 (league 1.44)

Tallinna Kalev
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vaprus 0 2.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.4% 5.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.7% 8.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.3% 8.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.4% 5.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.0% · Draw 12.5% · Away win 7.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1