Serie A — Brazil
Tue, Aug 26 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.10 (league 1.31) 0.12 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.5% 13.8% 1.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
23.8%
1 - 0
22.7%
3 - 0
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
Vitoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo 0 10.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.7% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.8% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.7% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlamengoVitoria
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack75%58%
Defense67%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flamengo Vitoria
HATHAT
Played10919101020
Wins80%56%68%30%0%15%
Draws20%22%21%50%50%50%
Loses0%22%11%20%50%35%

Form: Flamengo: DWWWDWLWDWWWLWWWDWW • Vitoria: LLDWDDLWLLDDLDWDDDLD

League goals

Metric Flamengo Vitoria
HATHAT
GF total23133613518
GF avg2.31.41.91.30.50.9
GA total279121224
GA avg0.20.80.51.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlamengoVitoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%42%60%80%
1.553%5%30%40%
2.521%0%0%0%
3.516%0%0%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlamengoVitoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets8311224
Failed to score123268

Penalties

MetricFlamengoVitoria
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFlamengoVitoria
Wins31
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-32-1—
Biggest losses—2-11-22-0
Goals For6322
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricFlamengoVitoria
Form76%24%
Att56%44%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution95%5%
H2h85%15%
Goals60%40%
Total73.5%26.5%

Advice: Double chance : Flamengo or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.23 @ Betano
Draw6.83 @ Pinnacle
Away17.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.18 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.74 @ Pinnacle
No1.50 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flamengo = 2.10 (league 1.31), Vitoria = 0.12 (league 0.80)

Vitoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo 0 10.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.7% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.8% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.7% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.5% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 1.6%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1