Sun, Aug 24 2025 • 19:00 • Estádio São Januário
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.32) 0.74 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.3% 29.6% 21.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.1%
0 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Corinthians
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vasco DA Gama 0 13.7% 10.1% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.1% 12.6% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.7% 7.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVasco DA GamaCorinthians
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack71%29%
Defense50%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vasco DA Gama Corinthians
HATHAT
Played91019101020
Wins33%20%26%40%10%25%
Draws33%10%21%30%40%35%
Loses33%70%53%30%50%40%

Form: Vasco DA Gama: WLWLDLLLWLLWLDDLDWL • Corinthians: DWLLWLWLWDDDLWLDDDLL

League goals

Metric Vasco DA Gama Corinthians
HATHAT
GF total10152513619
GF avg1.11.51.31.30.61.0
GA total91726101525
GA avg1.01.71.41.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVasco DA GamaCorinthians
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%84%65%70%
1.532%42%15%45%
2.521%11%10%5%
3.55%0%5%5%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVasco DA GamaCorinthians
HATHAT
Clean sheets213426
Failed to score437347

Penalties

MetricVasco DA GamaCorinthians
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricVasco DA GamaCorinthians
Wins11
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-63-00-1
Biggest losses0-23-00-24-0
Goals For3641
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricVasco DA GamaCorinthians
Form63%38%
Att71%29%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h20%80%
Goals32%68%
Total49.8%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : Vasco DA Gama or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away4.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vasco DA Gama = 1.25 (league 1.32), Corinthians = 0.74 (league 0.81)

Corinthians
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vasco DA Gama 0 13.7% 10.1% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.1% 12.6% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.7% 7.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.3% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 21.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1