Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.32) 2.20 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.1% 19.9% 58.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
1 - 1
8.9%
0 - 2
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mirassol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza EC 0 3.5% 7.6% 8.4% 6.1% 3.4% 1.5%
1 4.0% 8.9% 9.7% 7.1% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.4% 5.2% 5.7% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
3 0.9% 2.0% 2.2% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortaleza ECMirassol
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack46%62%
Defense15%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortaleza EC Mirassol
HATHAT
Played109199918
Wins30%0%16%56%22%39%
Draws20%44%32%44%44%44%
Loses50%56%53%0%33%17%

Form: Fortaleza EC: WDDLLDDWLLLLLDWLDLL • Mirassol: LDDWDDLWDWWDWWDWLD

League goals

Metric Fortaleza EC Mirassol
HATHAT
GF total14519181129
GF avg1.40.61.02.01.21.6
GA total15163191019
GA avg1.51.81.61.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortaleza ECMirassol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%74%94%78%
1.521%47%44%28%
2.511%21%17%0%
3.55%11%6%0%
4.55%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortaleza ECMirassol
HATHAT
Clean sheets325224
Failed to score448011

Penalties

MetricFortaleza ECMirassol
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricFortaleza ECMirassol
Wins12
Draws22
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-04-10-2
Biggest losses0-55-02-1
Goals For5142
Goals Against5522

Model comparison

MetricFortaleza ECMirassol
Form33%67%
Att43%57%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mirassol

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away3.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.73 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortaleza EC = 1.16 (league 1.32), Mirassol = 2.20 (league 0.82)

Mirassol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza EC 0 3.5% 7.6% 8.4% 6.1% 3.4% 1.5%
1 4.0% 8.9% 9.7% 7.1% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.4% 5.2% 5.7% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
3 0.9% 2.0% 2.2% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.1% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 58.3%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1