Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.60 (league 1.32) 0.24 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.1% 4.5% 0.9%
best score tips
3 - 0
16.6%
4 - 0
15.0%
2 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Gremio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo 0 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.9% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.6% 4.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.0% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.8% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlamengoGremio
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack79%26%
Defense84%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 35 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flamengo Gremio
HATHAT
Played11920101020
Wins82%56%70%40%20%30%
Draws18%22%20%40%20%30%
Loses0%22%10%20%60%40%

Form: Flamengo: DWWWDWLWDWWWLWWWDWWW • Gremio: WLLLDDWDLWWDLDLWLLWD

League goals

Metric Flamengo Gremio
HATHAT
GF total31134491019
GF avg2.81.42.20.91.01.0
GA total27981725
GA avg0.20.80.50.81.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlamengoGremio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%40%70%80%
1.555%5%20%25%
2.525%0%5%10%
3.520%0%0%10%
4.515%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlamengoGremio
HATHAT
Clean sheets9312314
Failed to score123336

Penalties

MetricFlamengoGremio
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricFlamengoGremio
Wins32
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-01-32-11-3
Biggest losses2-10-24-1
Goals For8323
Goals Against1224

Model comparison

MetricFlamengoGremio
Form65%35%
Att75%25%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution95%5%
H2h60%40%
Goals56%44%
Total68.0%32.0%

Advice: Winner : Flamengo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.29 @ 1xBet
Draw5.95 @ Pinnacle
Away15.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.54 @ Pinnacle
No1.53 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flamengo = 3.60 (league 1.32), Gremio = 0.24 (league 0.82)

Gremio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo 0 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.9% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.6% 4.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.0% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.8% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.1% · Draw 4.5% · Away win 0.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1