Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 21:30 • Neo Química Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.32) 1.97 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.2% 21.1% 61.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.3%
0 - 2
11.1%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Palmeiras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Corinthians 0 5.7% 11.3% 11.1% 7.3% 3.6% 1.4%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.9% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 2.3% 4.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCorinthiansPalmeiras
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack39%50%
Defense56%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Corinthians Palmeiras
HATHAT
Played10112110919
Wins40%18%29%60%78%68%
Draws30%36%33%20%11%16%
Loses30%45%38%20%11%16%

Form: Corinthians: DWLLWLWLWDDDLWLDDDLLW • Palmeiras: DWWWWLWWWLLDWWWDWWW

League goals

Metric Corinthians Palmeiras
HATHAT
GF total13922131427
GF avg1.30.81.01.31.61.4
GA total1017277815
GA avg1.01.51.30.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCorinthiansPalmeiras
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%71%84%58%
1.519%48%47%21%
2.514%5%11%0%
3.55%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCorinthiansPalmeiras
HATHAT
Clean sheets426538
Failed to score347303

Penalties

MetricCorinthiansPalmeiras
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricCorinthiansPalmeiras
Wins14
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-00-22-1
Goals For4332
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricCorinthiansPalmeiras
Form28%72%
Att44%56%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Palmeiras

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.16 @ 1xBet
Away2.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.24 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Corinthians = 0.89 (league 1.32), Palmeiras = 1.97 (league 0.81)

Palmeiras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Corinthians 0 5.7% 11.3% 11.1% 7.3% 3.6% 1.4%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.9% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 2.3% 4.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.2% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 61.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1