Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 00:30 • Arena MRV
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.76 (league 1.32) 0.55 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.1% 11.7% 5.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.9%
3 - 0
12.8%
1 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Juventude
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico-MG 0 3.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.1% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.9% 7.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.8% 7.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.8% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico-MGJuventude
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack18%27%
Defense55%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico-MG Juventude
HATHAT
Played101323131124
Wins50%15%30%38%9%25%
Draws40%23%30%23%9%17%
Loses10%62%39%38%82%58%

Form: Atletico-MG: LDDLWDWWDDWWLLLWDLLLDLW • Juventude: WLWLDLLLDLLWLLLLWDWLWLLD

League goals

Metric Atletico-MG Juventude
HATHAT
GF total1392215520
GF avg1.30.71.01.20.50.8
GA total91726153146
GA avg0.91.31.11.22.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico-MGJuventude
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%65%54%83%
1.526%39%29%54%
2.54%9%0%29%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico-MGJuventude
HATHAT
Clean sheets538314
Failed to score2684711

Penalties

MetricAtletico-MGJuventude
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAtletico-MGJuventude
Wins21
Draws21
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-00-1
Biggest losses1-32-01-36-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against3336

Model comparison

MetricAtletico-MGJuventude
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total61.2%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico-MG or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ Betano
Away6.40 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ 188Bet
No1.66 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Atletico-MG = 2.76 (league 1.32), Juventude = 0.55 (league 0.81)

Juventude
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico-MG 0 3.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.1% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.9% 7.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.8% 7.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.8% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.1% · Draw 11.7% · Away win 5.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1