Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 00:00 • Neo Química Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.32) 1.61 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.4% 24.8% 49.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Mirassol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Corinthians 0 6.8% 10.9% 8.8% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.3% 11.8% 9.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.0% 6.4% 5.1% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCorinthiansMirassol
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack50%88%
Defense38%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Corinthians Mirassol
HATHAT
Played121426121325
Wins33%21%27%58%31%44%
Draws33%36%35%42%38%40%
Loses33%43%38%0%31%16%

Form: Corinthians: DWLLWLWLWDDDLWLDDDLLWDWLLD • Mirassol: LDDWDDLWDWWDWWDWLDWWWDWLD

League goals

Metric Corinthians Mirassol
HATHAT
GF total151126261642
GF avg1.30.81.02.21.21.7
GA total131932111425
GA avg1.11.41.20.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCorinthiansMirassol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%73%92%72%
1.515%42%44%24%
2.512%4%20%4%
3.54%4%8%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCorinthiansMirassol
HATHAT
Clean sheets437347
Failed to score358022

Penalties

MetricCorinthiansMirassol
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricCorinthiansMirassol
Wins13
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-35-10-2
Biggest losses0-24-02-1
Goals For4353
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricCorinthiansMirassol
Form38%62%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mirassol

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Betano
Draw3.34 @ 1xBet
Away4.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Corinthians = 1.08 (league 1.32), Mirassol = 1.61 (league 0.82)

Mirassol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Corinthians 0 6.8% 10.9% 8.8% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.3% 11.8% 9.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.0% 6.4% 5.1% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 49.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1