Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.86 (league 1.32) 0.49 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.5% 10.4% 4.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.4%
3 - 0
13.7%
1 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Juventude
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fluminense 0 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.1% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 7.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.7% 6.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.8% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFluminenseJuventude
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack75%25%
Defense67%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fluminense Juventude
HATHAT
Played121426141327
Wins67%21%42%36%8%22%
Draws8%29%19%21%15%19%
Loses25%50%38%43%77%59%

Form: Fluminense: LWWWDLWLDWWLLLLWDWLDLWWDWL • Juventude: WLWLDLLLDLLWLLLLWDWLWLLDDLL

League goals

Metric Fluminense Juventude
HATHAT
GF total17173416622
GF avg1.41.21.31.10.50.8
GA total102333173552
GA avg0.81.61.31.22.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFluminenseJuventude
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%69%56%81%
1.546%38%26%56%
2.58%15%0%30%
3.50%4%0%15%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFluminenseJuventude
HATHAT
Clean sheets448325
Failed to score2464812

Penalties

MetricFluminenseJuventude
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricFluminenseJuventude
Wins31
Draws12
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-00-1
Biggest losses0-24-21-36-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2436

Model comparison

MetricFluminenseJuventude
Form83%17%
Att75%25%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h25%75%
Goals44%56%
Total63.8%36.2%

Advice: Winner : Fluminense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Betano
Draw5.25 @ Unibet
Away10.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.89 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.57 @ 188Bet
No1.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fluminense = 2.86 (league 1.32), Juventude = 0.49 (league 0.82)

Juventude
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fluminense 0 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.1% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 7.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.7% 6.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.8% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.5% · Draw 10.4% · Away win 4.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1