Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 22:30 • Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.32) 1.72 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.0% 23.8% 51.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Flamengo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botafogo 0 6.0% 10.3% 8.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8%
1 6.6% 11.3% 9.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.6% 6.2% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.3% 2.2% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBotafogoFlamengo
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack19%24%
Defense71%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Botafogo Flamengo
HATHAT
Played131427141226
Wins54%36%44%64%58%62%
Draws31%21%26%36%17%27%
Loses15%43%30%0%25%12%

Form: Botafogo: DWLDLWLWDWWWDWDLWLWWLDWDLWL • Flamengo: DWWWDWLWDWWWLWWWDWWWDWDWDL

League goals

Metric Botafogo Flamengo
HATHAT
GF total241337331750
GF avg1.80.91.42.41.41.9
GA total1310234913
GA avg1.00.70.90.30.80.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBotafogoFlamengo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%59%81%46%
1.541%22%50%4%
2.522%4%19%0%
3.511%0%15%0%
4.54%0%12%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBotafogoFlamengo
HATHAT
Clean sheets561110414
Failed to score3811235

Penalties

MetricBotafogoFlamengo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricBotafogoFlamengo
Wins33
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-58-01-3
Biggest losses0-22-02-1
Goals For4583
Goals Against3212

Model comparison

MetricBotafogoFlamengo
Form47%53%
Att44%56%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total45.2%54.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Flamengo and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.60 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.02 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ Pinnacle
No1.78 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Botafogo = 1.09 (league 1.32), Flamengo = 1.72 (league 0.81)

Flamengo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botafogo 0 6.0% 10.3% 8.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8%
1 6.6% 11.3% 9.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.6% 6.2% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.3% 2.2% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.0% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 51.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1