Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 22:00 • Allianz Parque
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.32) 0.95 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.4% 18.5% 14.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
RB Bragantino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palmeiras 0 4.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.1% 8.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.8% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.8% 7.4% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 4.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPalmeirasRB Bragantino
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack82%35%
Defense71%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Palmeiras RB Bragantino
HATHAT
Played141226141327
Wins71%67%69%43%31%37%
Draws14%17%15%29%15%22%
Loses14%17%15%29%54%41%

Form: Palmeiras: DWWWWLWWWLLDWWWDWWWDWWLWWW • RB Bragantino: DLWWWWWDLWWLWDLLLLLLWLDLDDW

League goals

Metric Palmeiras RB Bragantino
HATHAT
GF total281846191433
GF avg2.01.51.81.41.11.2
GA total101222191938
GA avg0.71.00.81.41.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePalmeirasRB Bragantino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%65%89%74%
1.554%19%26%48%
2.527%0%4%15%
3.512%0%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPalmeirasRB Bragantino
HATHAT
Clean sheets639527
Failed to score314123

Penalties

MetricPalmeirasRB Bragantino
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricPalmeirasRB Bragantino
Wins45
Draws12
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-34-20-2
Biggest losses0-22-10-34-1
Goals For4342
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricPalmeirasRB Bragantino
Form67%33%
Att70%30%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h85%15%
Goals71%29%
Total70.0%30.0%

Advice: Winner : Palmeiras

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Betano
Draw5.10 @ Pinnacle
Away9.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Palmeiras = 2.27 (league 1.32), RB Bragantino = 0.95 (league 0.81)

RB Bragantino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palmeiras 0 4.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.1% 8.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.8% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.8% 7.4% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 4.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.4% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 14.2%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1