Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 23:00 • Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.32) 1.66 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.3% 24.2% 56.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.9%
0 - 2
11.6%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ceara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sport Recife 0 8.3% 13.9% 11.6% 6.4% 2.7% 0.9%
1 6.8% 11.4% 9.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 2.8% 4.7% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSport RecifeCeara
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack24%33%
Defense67%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sport Recife Ceara
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins8%7%8%46%23%35%
Draws50%29%38%23%31%27%
Loses42%64%54%31%46%38%

Form: Sport Recife: DLLLLDLLLDLLLDDDWDLLDWLDDL • Ceara: DWLWLDWDWLLWLLLWDLWDLDDWLW

League goals

Metric Sport Recife Ceara
HATHAT
GF total11920141226
GF avg0.90.60.81.10.91.0
GA total18234191524
GA avg1.51.61.60.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSport RecifeCeara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%81%65%65%
1.519%54%31%23%
2.50%19%4%4%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSport RecifeCeara
HATHAT
Clean sheets325549
Failed to score5611459

Penalties

MetricSport RecifeCeara
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSport RecifeCeara
Wins11
Draws32
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-13-01-2
Biggest losses0-43-00-23-2
Goals For2232
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricSport RecifeCeara
Form38%62%
Att42%58%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ceara

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.62 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sport Recife = 0.82 (league 1.32), Ceara = 1.66 (league 0.81)

Ceara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sport Recife 0 8.3% 13.9% 11.6% 6.4% 2.7% 0.9%
1 6.8% 11.4% 9.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 2.8% 4.7% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.3% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 56.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1