Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 23:30 • Allianz Parque
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.32) 0.95 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.7% 29.6% 29.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Cruzeiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palmeiras 0 12.0% 11.4% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.3% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPalmeirasCruzeiro
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack100%33%
Defense22%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Palmeiras Cruzeiro
HATHAT
Played151328151429
Wins73%62%68%73%36%55%
Draws13%15%14%13%43%28%
Loses13%23%18%13%21%17%

Form: Palmeiras: DWWWWLWWWLLDWWWDWWWDWWLWWWWL • Cruzeiro: WLDWLWWWDWWDWWWDLWLDWWWWLDDDW

League goals

Metric Palmeiras Cruzeiro
HATHAT
GF total332053271542
GF avg2.21.51.91.81.11.4
GA total111526111021
GA avg0.71.20.90.70.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePalmeirasCruzeiro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%68%76%55%
1.557%21%45%14%
2.529%4%14%3%
3.514%0%10%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPalmeirasCruzeiro
HATHAT
Clean sheets6396713
Failed to score314167

Penalties

MetricPalmeirasCruzeiro
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricPalmeirasCruzeiro
Wins44
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-34-00-4
Biggest losses0-23-21-23-0
Goals For5344
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricPalmeirasCruzeiro
Form67%33%
Att85%15%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total63.3%36.7%

Advice: Winner : Palmeiras

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away5.60 @ Fonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Palmeiras = 1.17 (league 1.32), Cruzeiro = 0.95 (league 0.81)

Cruzeiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palmeiras 0 12.0% 11.4% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.3% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.7% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 29.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1