Serie A — Brazil
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 19:00 • Barradao
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.32) 0.99 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.3% 27.4% 27.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Corinthians
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitoria 0 9.5% 9.4% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.8% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.8% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVitoriaCorinthians
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack89%78%
Defense11%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vitoria Corinthians
HATHAT
Played141529141529
Wins43%7%24%43%20%31%
Draws36%33%34%29%33%31%
Loses21%60%41%29%47%38%

Form: Vitoria: LLDWDDLWLLDDLDWDDDLDLWLLLWLWW • Corinthians: DWLLWLWLWDDDLWLDDDLLWDWLLDWLW

League goals

Metric Vitoria Corinthians
HATHAT
GF total171027191231
GF avg1.20.70.91.40.81.1
GA total142943132235
GA avg1.01.91.50.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVitoriaCorinthians
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%76%72%69%
1.528%41%17%41%
2.53%10%14%7%
3.50%7%3%3%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVitoriaCorinthians
HATHAT
Clean sheets437639
Failed to score3811358

Penalties

MetricVitoriaCorinthians
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricVitoriaCorinthians
Wins11
Draws33
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-02-3
Biggest losses1-28-00-24-0
Goals For2343
Goals Against2824

Model comparison

MetricVitoriaCorinthians
Form56%44%
Att53%47%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h25%75%
Goals42%58%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : Vitoria or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Dafabet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.56 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vitoria = 1.37 (league 1.32), Corinthians = 0.99 (league 0.81)

Corinthians
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitoria 0 9.5% 9.4% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.8% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.8% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 27.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1