Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 21:30 • Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.32) 2.03 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.1% 20.2% 63.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.9%
0 - 1
11.7%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Mirassol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sport Recife 0 5.8% 11.7% 11.9% 8.1% 4.1% 1.7%
1 4.7% 9.6% 9.8% 6.6% 3.4% 1.4%
2 1.9% 3.9% 4.0% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSport RecifeMirassol
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack56%100%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sport Recife Mirassol
HATHAT
Played131528151429
Wins8%7%7%67%29%48%
Draws54%27%39%33%36%34%
Loses38%67%54%0%36%17%

Form: Sport Recife: DLLLLDLLLDLLLDDDWDLLDWLDDLDL • Mirassol: LDDWDDLWDWWDWWDWLDWWWDWLDLWWW

League goals

Metric Sport Recife Mirassol
HATHAT
GF total12921341650
GF avg0.90.60.82.31.11.7
GA total192544131730
GA avg1.51.71.60.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSport RecifeMirassol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%82%90%72%
1.518%54%48%24%
2.50%18%24%7%
3.50%4%7%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSport RecifeMirassol
HATHAT
Clean sheets325448
Failed to score5712033

Penalties

MetricSport RecifeMirassol
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricSport RecifeMirassol
Wins13
Draws32
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-15-10-2
Biggest losses0-43-03-0
Goals For2253
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricSport RecifeMirassol
Form23%77%
Att36%64%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total34.5%65.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mirassol

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Bwin
Away2.75 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.80 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Unibet
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sport Recife = 0.82 (league 1.32), Mirassol = 2.03 (league 0.81)

Mirassol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sport Recife 0 5.8% 11.7% 11.9% 8.1% 4.1% 1.7%
1 4.7% 9.6% 9.8% 6.6% 3.4% 1.4%
2 1.9% 3.9% 4.0% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.1% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 63.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1