Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 06:00 •
Fujimi Park
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.38)
0.48 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1% | 22.2% | 9.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.0%
2 - 0
16.4%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Tokyo Musashino City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Honda Lock | 0 | 11.0% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.4% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Honda Lock | Tokyo Musashino City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 44% | 22% |
| Defense | 39% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Honda Lock | Tokyo Musashino City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 40% | 27% | 33% | 18% | 30% | 24% |
| Draws | 30% | 9% | 19% | 36% | 10% | 24% |
| Loses | 30% | 64% | 48% | 45% | 60% | 52% |
Form: Honda Lock: LDLDLLLWWWLWDDWLLWWLL • Tokyo Musashino City: LLLDWLLLDLLWLDWLWDWDL
League goals
| Metric | Honda Lock | Tokyo Musashino City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 9 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 12 | 14 | 26 | 11 | 14 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Honda Lock | Tokyo Musashino City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 76% | 48% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 38% | 10% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 5% | 0% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Honda Lock | Tokyo Musashino City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Honda Lock | Tokyo Musashino City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Honda Lock | Tokyo Musashino City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Honda Lock | Tokyo Musashino City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Tokyo Musashino City
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Honda Lock = 1.73 (league 1.38), Tokyo Musashino City = 0.48 (league 1.24)
| Tokyo Musashino City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Honda Lock | 0 | 11.0% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.4% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.1% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 9.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1