Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 10:00 • Changning Sports Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.40) 1.61 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.6% 24.6% 60.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.0%
0 - 2
13.6%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Boeun Sangmu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Changnyeong 0 10.6% 17.0% 13.6% 7.3% 2.9% 0.9%
1 6.8% 10.9% 8.7% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChangnyeongBoeun Sangmu
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack57%43%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Changnyeong Boeun Sangmu
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins17%0%8%38%23%31%
Draws17%7%12%31%15%23%
Loses67%93%81%31%62%46%

Form: Changnyeong: LLLLLLLLLLLWDLLLLLLLLLDWDL • Boeun Sangmu: LWDLWLDWLLWLLLDDDWWWDLLLWL

League goals

Metric Changnyeong Boeun Sangmu
HATHAT
GF total7916191433
GF avg0.60.60.61.51.11.3
GA total214364152035
GA avg1.83.12.51.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChangnyeongBoeun Sangmu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.546%92%65%77%
1.512%62%27%42%
2.54%42%15%12%
3.50%23%12%4%
4.50%19%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChangnyeongBoeun Sangmu
HATHAT
Clean sheets202426
Failed to score6814549

Penalties

MetricChangnyeongBoeun Sangmu
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricChangnyeongBoeun Sangmu
Wins13
Draws13
Losses113

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—5-01-4
Biggest losses1-55-00-43-0
Goals For2354
Goals Against5743

Model comparison

MetricChangnyeongBoeun Sangmu
Form63%38%
Att57%43%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h20%80%
Goals26%74%
Total40.3%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Boeun Sangmu

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.50 @ Unibet
Draw5.10 @ Unibet
Away1.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Unibet
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Changnyeong = 0.64 (league 1.40), Boeun Sangmu = 1.61 (league 1.23)

Boeun Sangmu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Changnyeong 0 10.6% 17.0% 13.6% 7.3% 2.9% 0.9%
1 6.8% 10.9% 8.7% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.6% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 60.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1