Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.45) 1.52 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.0% 25.9% 54.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.3%
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 2
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Metallurg Lipetsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ryazan 0 10.1% 15.3% 11.6% 5.9% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.9% 9.0% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 3.0% 4.6% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRyazanMetallurg Lipetsk
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack25%44%
Defense44%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ryazan Metallurg Lipetsk
HATHAT
Played101222101020
Wins60%58%59%50%50%50%
Draws0%25%14%20%20%20%
Loses40%17%27%30%30%30%

Form: Ryazan: WWWWLWWLWWDLWLWWWDLLWD • Metallurg Lipetsk: LLLWLWWWWDWWLWWWDLDD

League goals

Metric Ryazan Metallurg Lipetsk
HATHAT
GF total141731121527
GF avg1.41.41.41.21.51.4
GA total137206814
GA avg1.30.60.90.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRyazanMetallurg Lipetsk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%50%70%55%
1.541%23%50%15%
2.523%9%15%0%
3.55%5%0%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRyazanMetallurg Lipetsk
HATHAT
Clean sheets2911549
Failed to score246336

Penalties

MetricRyazanMetallurg Lipetsk
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricRyazanMetallurg Lipetsk
Wins44
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-43-00-3
Biggest losses0-35-01-22-1
Goals For3433
Goals Against3522

Model comparison

MetricRyazanMetallurg Lipetsk
Form45%55%
Att36%64%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total37.2%62.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Metallurg Lipetsk

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.44 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.18 @ Marathonbet
Away2.70 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.74 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ryazan = 0.77 (league 1.45), Metallurg Lipetsk = 1.52 (league 1.28)

Metallurg Lipetsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ryazan 0 10.1% 15.3% 11.6% 5.9% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.9% 9.0% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 3.0% 4.6% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.0% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 54.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1