Serie A — Italy
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 • Unipol Domus
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.24) 0.64 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.7% 33.0% 22.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.3%
0 - 0
18.4%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bologna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cagliari 0 18.4% 11.8% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.3% 12.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.2% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCagliariBologna
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cagliari Bologna
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%100%0%50%
Draws33%33%33%0%33%17%
Loses33%33%33%0%67%33%

Form: Cagliari: DLWWLD • Bologna: LWLWDW

League goals

Metric Cagliari Bologna
HATHAT
GF total336729
GF avg1.01.01.02.30.71.5
GA total336145
GA avg1.01.01.00.31.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCagliariBologna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%67%67%
1.533%17%50%17%
2.50%0%17%0%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCagliariBologna
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricCagliariBologna
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCagliariBologna
Wins21
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-0—
Biggest losses0-21-0—1-0
Goals For2242
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricCagliariBologna
Form41%59%
Att36%64%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bologna

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.52 @ 1xBet
Away2.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cagliari = 1.05 (league 1.24), Bologna = 0.64 (league 1.09)

Bologna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cagliari 0 18.4% 11.8% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.3% 12.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.2% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 22.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1